How Moon Where computes its observing score

Read the astronomical and weather weights and their limits. A heuristic score is not a calibrated success probability.

A score is not a measured probability

The rules combine lunar altitude, solar altitude, illumination and cloud/rain forecasts. A score of 80 is not an 80% chance of success. The model has not been calibrated against a field-observation sample and does not measure your skyline or local fog.

The time-slot formula

The base score is round(astronomy × 0.55 + weather × 0.45). Astronomy comprises altitude up to 40 points, background contrast up to 35 and phase visibility up to 25. Altitude thresholds of 10°, 15°, 25° and 35° receive 18, 26, 34 and 40 points. Weather comprises cloud up to 60, rain up to 30 and a transparency baseline of 10; that baseline is not an on-site measurement.

Cloud thresholds at 15%, 30%, 50%, 70% and 85% receive 60, 50, 35, 18 and 6 points respectively; above 85% receives zero.

Caps and separate summaries

At cloud cover of at least 85%, the final score is capped at 20. Rain above 0.5mm or precipitation probability at least 75% caps it at 15; daylight glare caps it at 18. Below-horizon and very-low-altitude cases have early rules. Daily summary cards use separate aggregation and should not be compared as identical scales. Recommended windows favor sustained usable intervals.

Missing weather means uncertainty

When a forecast is unavailable, lunar coordinates remain calculable but cloud conditions are unknown. Check the sky rather than treating a calculated estimate as a confirmed sighting. Forecast cloud cover describes a grid, not a specific cloud crossing the Moon.

Full methodology

Purpose planner · Moon classroom · Observing places

Sources and review

Moon Where operator · Reviewed: 2026-10-07. AI assisted drafting; explanation reviewed against cited sources and application code. Hypothetical examples are identified.

Today’s Moon · Moonrise

Sources, responsibility and limitations

Lunar calculations use SunCalc in the browser. Cloud and precipitation forecasts come from Open-Meteo after coordinates are rounded to two decimal places. Terrain, buildings, haze and compass calibration can make a real observation differ from the estimate.

Content owner: Moon Where? operator · Last reviewed: October 7, 2026